Society · Guess the stat

How well do you know real-life threats and risks?

Guess the real lifetime odds behind everyday threats, see how everyone else guessed, and get the source.

Guess the statOne tap · see how everyone guessed

What are a person's lifetime odds of dying in a motor-vehicle crash?

Level1Rookie
XP
Play a round to earn XP
Streak0days
LeagueBronzeweekly
A detailed view of a tattooed hand holding a smoking cigarette, emphasizing the act of smoking.
Photo: Sed‌ "Creatives" Sardar / Pexels
Daily #8Resets at midnight UTC

Today's round

  • 4 stats to guess
  • 1 opinion poll
  • 0 played today

Guess, see the crowd, get the real number. One ranked attempt per day.

Threat by the numbers

Real figures with their sources. All Threat facts →

1 in 22

What are the combined lifetime odds of dying from any "preventable" cause (accidents, overdoses, etc.) in the U.S.?

Grouping together every preventable cause of death — from car crashes to falls to overdoses — still adds up to real, sizeable odds.

Source: National Safety Council, Injury Facts (Odds of Dying) (2024) injuryfacts.nsc.org

What people think about everyday risks and threats — the real lifetime odds of dying from them

Vote to see the live results. All polls →

Which everyday risk worries you the most?

Be the first to vote

Do you think people generally overestimate or underestimate rare risks (like shark attacks)?

Be the first to vote

Which would you find scarier to experience?

Be the first to vote

Leaderboard

  1. Loading…

Badges

Earned on any site in the network, shown on your profile everywhere.

First RoundFinish your first daily round.
BullseyeNail every stat in a round.
LightningA bullseye round in under 40 seconds.
Beat the CrowdGet a stat right that fewer than 30% of players got.
On a RollPlay 3 days in a row.
Week WarriorPlay 7 days in a row.
UnbreakablePlay 30 days in a row.
ExplorerPlay daily rounds on 5 different sites.
GlobetrotterPlay daily rounds on 25 different sites.
PolymathPlay daily rounds in 5 different categories.
PollsterHave your say in 10 opinion polls.
RecruiterInvite a friend who finishes a round.
CaptainInvite 5 friends who finish a round.
PodiumFinish a day in a site's top 3.
AnalystReach level 10.
Profile SavedSave your progress with an email.

Save your progress

Add your email to keep your level, streak and badges if you switch devices, and carry them to every site in the network. One email when you save; no spam.

Questions

How does ThreatSurvey.com work?

Each question asks you to guess a real number about everyday risks and threats — the real lifetime odds of dying from them. After you answer you see how everyone else guessed, then the real figure and where it comes from.

How is the daily round scored?

Four stats and one opinion poll. A correct guess earns 100 points plus up to 50 for speed, with a combo bonus for answers in a row. The range next to the right answer earns 40. Opinion polls earn 25 for having your say, and nailing every stat adds 150.

Where do the numbers come from?

Every stat links to its source, such as government statistics agencies, research organizations and industry groups. Figures are checked against the source before they go live.

Is it free?

Yes. Playing, streaks, badges and leaderboards are free, and your votes stay anonymous.